Ajax vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Ajax - Benfica
25/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Ajax
24.8%
Draw
25.9%
Benfica
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 25.9% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.7% 47.5%

Ajax - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.9
(3.83)
3.77
(3.72)
1.96
(1.96)
3.2%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Benfica will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 50.8%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ajax has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.
    • Benfica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Ajax
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3
    22.10.2025 Chelsea - Ajax 5:1
    Latest results of Benfica
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    25.10.2025 Benfica - Arouca 5:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440014:31112
    2Arsenal440011:01112
    3Inter440011:11012
    4Manchester City431010:3710
    5PSG430114:599
    6Newcastle430110:289
    7Real Madrid43018:269
    8Liverpool43019:459
    9Galatasaray43018:629
    10Tottenham42207:258
    11Barcelona421112:757
    12Chelsea42119:637
    13Sporting CP42118:537
    14Dortmund421113:1127
    15Qarabag42118:717
    16Atalanta42113:5-27
    17Atl. Madrid420210:916
    18PSV41219:725
    19Monaco41214:6-25
    20Pafos41212:5-35
    21Bayer Leverkusen41216:10-45
    22Club Brugge KV41128:10-24
    23Eintracht Frankfurt41127:11-44
    24Napoli41124:9-54
    25Marseille41036:513
    26Juventus40317:8-13
    27Ath Bilbao41034:9-53
    28Royale Union SG41034:12-83
    29Bodo/Glimt40225:8-32
    30Slavia Prague40222:8-62
    31Olympiacos Piraeus40222:9-72
    32Villarreal40132:6-41
    33FC Copenhagen40134:12-81
    34Kairat Almaty40132:11-91
    35Benfica40042:8-60
    36Ajax40041:14-130

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