Ajax vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:2
25/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
japanJapanWowow Live
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Sport 2, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 8, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.96
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.55
Total shots
711
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
815
Passes
89% (585/658)82% (332/405)
Long passes
59% (33/56)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
76% (108/143)73% (70/96)
Crosses
18% (5/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw-ins
1615
Fouls
158
Tackles
53% (8/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.550.41
Goals prevented
-0.450.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Dahl S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Wijndal O. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 69', Weghorst W. 🟨,
  • 74', Dahl S. 🟨,
  • 74', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 74', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 74', Godts M. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
  • 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
  • 83', Regeer Y. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
  • 90', 0 - 2, Barreiro L. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
  • 90+2', Pavlidis V. ↓, Manu ↑,
  • 90+3', Barreiro L. ↓, Rego R. ↑,

Chances of winning


Ajax
26.9%		Draw
26.5%		Benfica
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 25.9% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.7% 47.5%

Ajax - Benfica Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.58 ↓
(3.83)		 3.66 ↓
(3.72)		 2.08 ↑
(1.96)		 3.4%
(4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 10.9%). Benfica will win (votes: 78 - 77.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 69% – 85.4%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Benfica (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Benfica (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Benfica (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 4.2%). Benfica (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Tie (votes: 12 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Ajax has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Benfica might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle) Manu (Knee Injury) Santos L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Gaaei A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Ajax
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1 ✺
    26.10.2025 Twente - Ajax 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

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