Varvara Lepchenko vs Laura Samsonova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
17
1st Serve Percentage
76%60%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (30/47)67% (30/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
40% (6/15)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (15/45)36% (17/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (14/30)60% (9/15)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
58% (36/62)61% (46/75)
Return Points Won
39% (29/75)42% (26/62)
Total Points Won
47% (65/137)53% (72/137)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Varvara Lepchenko
44.7%
Laura Samsonova
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.
  • Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Samsonova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Samsonova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.85)

    1.69
    (1.86)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 154. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 265.
    • Lepchenko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samsonova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lepchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Latest results of Laura Samsonova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Lepchenko V. (9)Samson L.0 : 2
    2Sorribes Tormo S.Ce G. (Q)2 : 0
    3Alves C.Pieri J.2 : 0
    4Monnet C.Erjavec V. (6)2 : 1
    5Udvardy P. (4)Giovannini L. (WC)2 : 0
    6Ortenzi J.Hercog P. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nahimana S.Cherubini D. (Q)2 : 1
    8Mandlik E.Oliynykova O. (5)0 : 2
    9Chwalinska M. (8)Trevisan M. (WC)2 : 1
    10Papamichail D.Strakhova V. (LL)2 : 0
    11Vergara Rivera A. (WC)Pigossi L.
    12Riera J.Jeanjean L. (3)1 : 2
    13Carle M. L. (7)Herrero Linana A. (Q)2 : 1
    14Labrana F. (WC)Fossa Huergo N.2 : 1
    15Bulgaru M.Akli A.2 : 0
    16Vedder E.Sherif M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Samson L.Sorribes Tormo S.
    2Alves C.Monnet C.
    3Udvardy P. (4)Hercog P.
    4Nahimana S.Oliynykova O. (5)
    5Chwalinska M. (8)Papamichail D.
    6TBD #11Jeanjean L. (3)
    7Carle M. L. (7)Labrana F.
    8Bulgaru M.Sherif M. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2