Result
22/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Melilla
45.4% | Draw
28.7% | Lorca Deportiva
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+2%)
Melilla - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.14) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
3.53 ↑
(3.42) |
9.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Melilla has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Melilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against Lorca Deportiva?
Melilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Melilla?
Lorca Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lorca Deportiva
-
Melilla
1:0
Latest results of Melilla
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35:20 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Xerez CD | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 48 |
| 3 | Deportiva Minera | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | CD Extremadura | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | UCAM Murcia | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 7 | Jaen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | La Union | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Linares | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 31:37 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Yeclano | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 22:25 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 29 |
| 16 | Melilla | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22:48 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
