Result
0:1
24/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (489/593) | 82% (389/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (489/593) | 82% (389/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 56% (48/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/137) | 67% (73/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Lushkja R. ⚽, Esmaeilifar D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Nurulloev S. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
- 59', Norchaev K. ↓, Abdunazarov D. ↑,
- 68', Lushkja R. ↓, Shiri M. ↑,
- 73', Davronov A. 🟨,
- 73', Mukhitdinov S. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
- 84', Halilovic T. ↓, Torabi M. ↑,
- 86', Bakhromov S. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
- 86', Shala A. ↓, Otubanjo Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Hashemnejad M. ↓, Strkalj T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4nm4ta58
Chances of winning
Nasaf Qarshi
30.9% | Draw
27.8% | Tractor Sazi
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Tractor Sazi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-1%)
Nasaf Qarshi - Tractor Sazi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↑
(2.96) |
3.37 ↑
(3.33) |
2.27 ↓
(2.35) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Tractor Sazi?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tractor Sazi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Tractor Sazi (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tractor Sazi (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Tractor Sazi (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tractor Sazi (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Recent form of Nasaf has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tractor Sazi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Nasaf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Tractor Sazi?
Nasaf Qarshi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tractor Sazi won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Tractor Sazi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Tractor Sazi were as follows:
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Latest results of Tractor Sazi
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
