Bradford City vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 18
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.11
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
62% (203/329)76% (360/472)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.960.97
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
1822
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
62% (203/329)76% (360/472)
Long passes
33% (28/85)41% (35/85)
Passes in final third
55% (71/130)61% (93/153)
Crosses
27% (6/22)20% (7/35)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.78
Throw-ins
2527
Fouls
1512
Tackles
56% (9/16)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5852
Clearances
4139
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.970.96
Goals prevented
0.97-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Wright J. , Power M. (A),
  • 30', Power M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pattison A. , Swan W. ,
  • 57', Sweeney P. 🟨,
  • 69', Humphrys S. , Cook A. ,
  • 71', Higgins A. , Oakes L. ,
  • 72', Doyle-Hayes J. , Yfeko J. ,
  • 76', Pointon B. 🟨,
  • 79', Baldwin A. , Byrne N. ,
  • 79', Pointon B. , McIntyre T. ,
  • 80', Aitchison J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 80', McMillan J. , Francis E. ,
  • 88', Wareham J. 🟨,
  • 89', Walker S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Turns E. , Woodhouse L. ,
  • 90+4', Swan W. , Metcalfe J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bradford City
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
Exeter City
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 23.9% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9% 24.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Bradford City - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.67)
    3.96
    (3.9)
    5.16
    (4.62)
    5.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bradford City - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 40%93.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bradford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Exeter (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 0.
    • Bradford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Exeter is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bradford is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bradford: Powell N. (Inactive) Tilt C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Doyle-Hayes J. (Inactive) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bradford: Pennington M. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bradford won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bradford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Bradford City
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bolton431916864:451973
    4Bradford City422181352:46671
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4219101344:43167
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4114131463:65-255
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Port Vale408112130:54-2435
    24Northampton41982434:60-2635

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship