Málaga vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2
Result
3:3
07/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2
thailandThailandbeIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.221.52
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
09
Passes
83% (298/361)85% (297/351)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.221.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.972.09
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
1328
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
2115
Passes
83% (298/361)85% (297/351)
Long passes
41% (22/54)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
72% (63/88)77% (79/103)
Crosses
14% (1/7)27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.23
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
1521
Tackles
78% (14/18)47% (9/19)
Duels won
7260
Clearances
2417
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
2.092.97
Goals prevented
0.09-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Dotor C. ⚽,
  • 29', Montero J. 🟨,
  • 36', Clerc C. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,
  • 45+6', 2 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽, Juric S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Montero J. ↓, Recio A. ↑,
  • 48', 3 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
  • 56', Garcia V. 🟥,
  • 58', Munoz J. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
  • 64', Ponceau J. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
  • 64', Canos S. ↓, Latasa J. ↑,
  • 65', 3 - 2, Chupe (Own goal),
  • 66', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 72', Chupe ↓, Nino A. ↑,
  • 72', Dotor C. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
  • 84', Peter Federico ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
  • 84', Juric S. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
  • 85', Gabilondo J. 🟨,
  • 88', Lorenzo D. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
  • 90+1', Juanpe 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Latasa J. ⚽, Chuki (A),
  • 90+6', Latasa J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Merino I. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Tomeo P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n7ymbwt

Chances of winning


Málaga
43.9%		Draw
29%		Valladolid
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.2% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Málaga - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.14 ↑
    (1.97)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.5)    		 3.48 ↓
    (3.78)    		 6.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Málaga - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 38.8% – 86.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Málaga (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 1.
    • Recent performances by Málaga have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Valladolid is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Málaga might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Galilea E. (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Puga C. (Yellow Cards) Sanchez D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Injury) Maroto M. (Coach's decision) Ndiaye A. (Leg Injury) Torres D. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Valladolid were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Valladolid - Málaga 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.02.2026 Granada - Málaga 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Málaga - Albacete Balompié 1:0 ✺
    16.02.2026 Real Sociedad B - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Málaga - Leonesa 2:1 ✺
    02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Valladolid
    28.02.2026 Valladolid - Huesca 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid 2:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Granada - Valladolid 5:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Valladolid - Castellón 0:4 ✺
    31.01.2026 Córdoba - Valladolid 3:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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