Result
2:3
20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sage E. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, John D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 71', 2 - 1, Mace C. ⚽,
- 75', 2 - 2, Campbell C. ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 3, Selway H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Newport City 53.6% | Draw 23.9% | Treowen Stars 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Newport City - Treowen Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↓ (1.75) |
3.84 ↓ (4) |
4.06 ↑ (3.57) |
9.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).
- Newport City has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Treowen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newport City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Newport City is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Newport City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Treowen Stars?
Newport City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Treowen Stars won against Newport City?
Treowen Stars has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport City - Treowen Stars were as follows:
29.11.2025
Treowen Stars
-
Newport City
2:0
Latest results of Newport City
Latest results of Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Treowen | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier