Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
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peruPeruDisney+
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polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.03
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (299/370)86% (429/499)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.94
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1539
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
108
Passes
81% (299/370)86% (429/499)
Long passes
50% (20/40)39% (11/28)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)78% (111/142)
Crosses
31% (5/16)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.53
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
810
Tackles
60% (9/15)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3541
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.941.36
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Boe Risa V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', Gwinn G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', 1 - 1, Harder P. , Buhl K. (A),
  • 64', Boe Risa V. , Bartel J. ,
  • 64', Sarriegi A. , Jensen S. ,
  • 66', Garcia G. 🟨,
  • 66', Damnjanovic J. , Schuller L. ,
  • 66', Kett F. , Simon C. ,
  • 75', Tanikawa M. 🟨,
  • 78', Tanikawa M. , Ballisager S. ,
  • 78', Dallmann L. , Sehitler A. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Harder P. ,
  • 88', Lloris S. , Gomez C. ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Iannuzzi F. , Luany (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
23.2%
Draw
22.6%
Bayern Munich
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 21.8% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 22% 52.1%

Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.01
(3.5)
4.06
(4.1)
1.71
(1.7)
8.2%
(11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Atlético Madrid have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atlético Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bayern will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W541018:31513
    2Lyon W541014:5913
    3Chelsea W532018:21611
    4Juventus W531113:7610
    5Real Madrid W531112:6610
    6Bayern Munich W531111:13-210
    7Wolfsburg W530212:849
    8Arsenal W53028:629
    9Manchester Utd W53026:9-39
    10Paris FC W52216:7-18
    11Atl. Madrid W521213:587
    12Leuven W51315:7-26
    13Valerenga W51134:6-24
    14Twente W50233:9-62
    15SL Benfica W50143:10-71
    16PSG W50143:11-81
    17AS Roma W50143:18-151
    18St. Polten W50142:22-201

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