Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (201/298) | 63% (181/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (201/298) | 63% (181/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (47/86) | 58% (68/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (10/10) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Aguinaldo A. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Auksornsri T. ⚽, Phumipha E. A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Katano H. ↓, Ito R. ↑,
- 46', Tierney F. ↓, Phutchan K. ↑,
- 46', Shamsaldin A. ↓, Viriyachanchai P. ↑,
- 48', Harape P. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Aguinaldo A. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
- 66', Junior S. 🟨,
- 77', Ito T. 🟨,
- 81', Chaolaokhwan S. ↓, Prachobklang N. ↑,
- 87', Phutchan K. 🟨,
- 88', Harape P. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Jeon H. ⚽, Lucero J. (A),
- 90', Auksornsri T. ↓, Nemati A. ↑,
- 90+1', Phumipha E. A. ↓, Sangrum A. ↑,
- 90+6', Lwin M. A. ↓, Kerdkaew C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Pathom United
40.7% | Draw
27.7% | Rayong FC
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nakhon Pathom United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Pathom United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2.06) |
3.29 ↓
(3.35) |
2.88 ↓
(3.16) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Nakhon Pathom United (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nakhon Pathom United (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Nakhon Pathom United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Nakhon Pathom United will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nakhon Pathom United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Pathom United won against Rayong FC?
Nakhon Pathom United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Nakhon Pathom United?
Rayong FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Pathom United - Rayong FC were as follows:
23.11.2024
Rayong FC
-
Nakhon Pathom United
2:2
11.02.2023
Rayong FC
-
Nakhon Pathom United
1:1
30.09.2022
Nakhon Pathom United
-
Rayong FC
4:1
Latest results of Nakhon Pathom United
Latest results of Rayong FC
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 57:20 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 42:19 | 23 | 39 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 39 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 32:20 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Prachuap | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya Utd | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 26 |
| 9 | Uthai Thani | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Chiangrai Utd | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:30 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 28:38 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 22 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13:33 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
