ACR Messina vs Vigor Lamezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+11', 1 - 0, Roseti C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
44.1%
Draw
28.3%
Vigor Lamezia
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 25.8% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACR Messina's performance.
  • Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vigor Lamezia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACR Messina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vigor Lamezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.35)
    3.21
    (3.35)
    3.29
    (2.61)
    10.1%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - ACR Messina (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ACR Messina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • ACR Messina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vigor Lamezia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • ACR Messina might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ACR Messina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    23.11.2025 ACR Messina - Savoia 0:1
    09.11.2025 ACR Messina - Vibonese 1:1
    02.11.2025 Nissa - ACR Messina 1:0
    Latest results of Vigor Lamezia
    30.11.2025 Savoia - Vigor Lamezia 2:1
    23.11.2025 Vigor Lamezia - Milazzo 0:1
    16.11.2025 Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia 3:1
    09.11.2025 Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa 4:0
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia31179554:282660
    2Nissa31179543:251860
    3Reggina30166834:191554
    4Athletic Palermo31166953:411254
    5Gelbison31149840:31951
    6Igea Virtus301412445:271849
    7Sambiase311310834:25949
    8Milazzo301271130:32-243
    9Gela311341439:39042
    10Vigor Lamezia301061437:32536
    11Enna308111147:45235
    12USD Ragusa317111322:32-1032
    13AS Acireale317111336:47-1131
    14Castrumfavara31871630:43-1331
    15Vibonese307101327:41-1431
    16ACR Messina3110111025:31-627
    17Sancataldese31761830:45-1527
    18Paterno31472020:63-4319

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation