Ulm 1846 vs Osnabrück – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
12/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 18
  • Referee: Uhrig B. H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
61
Total shots
79
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
811
Throw-ins
2923
Fouls
107

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Lesueur T. , Wagner F. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Wiemann N. , Meissner R. (A),
  • 33', Mazagg L. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Chessa D. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 36', Dressel D. 🟨,
  • 39', Dajaku L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', Fabinski R. 🟨,
  • 48', 2 - 2, Besong P. , Dajaku L. (A),
  • 52', Kolle N. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 3, Kehl L. , Kammerbauer P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 4, Kehl L. ,
  • 60', Brandt M. 🟨,
  • 70', Kehl L. , Proger K. ,
  • 71', Dressel D. , Loder E. ,
  • 71', Besong P. , Becker A. ,
  • 74', 2 - 5, Meissner R. , Lesueur T. (A),
  • 80', Lesueur T. , Wiethaup K. ,
  • 80', Kopacz D. , Henning B. ,
  • 81', Dajaku L. , Aksakal E. ,
  • 81', Meier J. , Gorlich L. ,
  • 83', Aksakal E. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 5, Loder E. , Gorlich L. (A),
  • 88', Fabinski R. , Karademir Y. ,
  • 88', Meissner R. , Ihorst L. ,
  • 90', Mazagg L. , Boller J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29.4%
Draw
27.4%
Osnabrück
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 26.2% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8% 25.5% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The chances for Osnabrück have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (3.03)
    3.39
    (3.55)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    7.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Osnabrück?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ulm (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Osnabrück will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 20%). Osnabrück (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • Ulm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osnabrück has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Osnabrück will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    06.12.2025 Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846 0:1
    29.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 0:1
    22.11.2025 TSV Havelse - Ulm 1846 2:1
    08.11.2025 Ulm 1846 - Hansa Rostock 0:5
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    30.11.2025 Verl - Osnabrück 4:1
    22.11.2025 Osnabrück - Ingolstadt 1:0
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck32197654:272764
    2RW Essen321710565:501561
    3Cottbus32179661:441760
    4Duisburg32169755:421357
    5Hansa Rostock321511657:362156
    6Verl32159871:442754
    7Munich 1860321481047:43450
    8Alemannia Aachen321461257:52548
    9Wehen321461243:40348
    10Mannheim321451351:56-547
    11Viktoria Koln321351446:44244
    12Regensburg321261444:48-442
    13Stuttgart II321261440:51-1142
    14Ingolstadt3210101251:44740
    15Hoffenheim II321161559:58139
    16Saarbrucken328131142:47-537
    17Ulm32851941:63-2229
    18TSV Havelse32681847:73-2626
    19Aue32591837:60-2324
    20Schweinfurt32522530:76-4617

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