Result
2:0
09/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Algeria | TV2, TV4, TV6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Qatar | Shoof |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (650/698) | 80% (243/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (650/698) | 80% (243/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 80% (41/51) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (179/215) | 69% (25/36) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Al Saedi H. 🟥,
- 32', Meme ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Tougai M. ⚽, Berkane R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Attwan A. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
- 46', Jabbar M. ↓, Hashem A. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Natiq S. (Own goal),
- 52', Jasim S. ↓, Abdulkareem H. ↑,
- 57', Berkane R. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
- 57', Brahimi Y. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
- 58', Atal Y. ↓, Halaimia M. ↑,
- 68', Lekhal V. ↓, Mrezigue H. ↑,
- 76', Boulbina A. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
- 78', Muhsin A. ↓, Jawad M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ounas A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Algeria
48.5% | Draw
30.7% | Iraq
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Algeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraq than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Algeria - Iraq Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.73) |
3.02 ↓
(3.17) |
4.48 ↓
(4.82) |
7.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Iraq is Qualified for FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs )
- Algeria has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Iraq is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Algeria is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Algeria will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Algeria won against Iraq?
Algeria has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Iraq won against Algeria?
Iraq has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Algeria - Iraq were as follows:
Latest results of Algeria
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Palestine (A1) | Saudi Arabia (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Jordan (C1) | Iraq (D2) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Morocco (B1) | Syria (A2) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Algeria (D1) | United Arab Emirates (C2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Saudi Arabia (B2) | Jordan (C1) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Morocco (B1) | United Arab Emirates (C2) | 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Jordan (C1) | Morocco (B1) | 2 : 3 |
3rd place| 2 | Saudi Arabia (B2) | United Arab Emirates (C2) | 0 : 0 |
