Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 16
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Sardo M. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Sardo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 86', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atletico Ascoli
80.4% | Draw
14.5% | Sammaurese
5.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sammaurese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-38.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+27.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.14 ↓
(2.25) |
6.32 ↑
(3.45) |
17.61 ↑
(2.62) |
9.5%
(11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.25 - Atletico Ascoli (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 1st Half - Atletico Ascoli (2.09) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75, 1st Half - Atletico Ascoli (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Atletico Ascoli (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Atletico Ascoli (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atletico Ascoli (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Atletico Ascoli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sammaurese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Atletico Ascoli is the undisputed favorite.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Atletico Ascoli won against Sammaurese?
Atletico Ascoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sammaurese won against Atletico Ascoli?
Sammaurese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Ascoli - Sammaurese were as follows:
Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
Latest results of Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
