Villegas vs San Marcial – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 31

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, ,
  • 42', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 66', 1 - 1, ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Villegas
43.6%
Draw
27.5%
San Marcial
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 28.6% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.8% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villegas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villegas's performance.
  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villegas than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Villegas - San Marcial Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.39)
    3.31
    (3.17)
    3.15
    (2.71)
    9.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Villegas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Marcial's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villegas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villegas - San Marcial were as follows:
    13.12.2025 San Marcial - Villegas 0:1
    Latest results of Villegas
    12.04.2026 La Calzada - Villegas 3:2
    01.04.2026 Villegas - Varea 0:1
    22.03.2026 Villegas - Autol 4:0
    15.03.2026 Berceo - Villegas 1:0
    Latest results of San Marcial
    12.04.2026 San Marcial - Calahorra 0:4
    02.04.2026 Comillas - San Marcial 0:1
    29.03.2026 San Marcial - Vianés 2:2
    21.03.2026 Arnedo - San Marcial 7:1
    14.03.2026 San Marcial - Yagüe 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B33258094:227283
    2Varea33227451:242773
    3Arnedo33209471:264569
    4Calahorra331711582:226062
    5Oyonesa33177953:411258
    6Anguiano33169847:361157
    7Haro Deportivo331491054:45951
    8Agoncillo331381258:471147
    9Vianes331091437:50-1339
    10San Marcial331091439:57-1839
    11Berceo331091441:48-739
    12Yague339121244:48-439
    13CDFC Calzada33981637:54-1735
    14Pradejon33981629:46-1735
    15Comillas331051831:58-2735
    16Villegas33771936:65-2928
    17Autol33362418:79-6115
    18Pena Balsamaiso330112227:81-5411

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