Florgrade vs Aparecida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
20
Red Cards
01
Total shots
113
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, ,
  • 25', 🟥,
  • 34', 2 - 0, ,
  • 43', 3 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Florgrade
53.8%
Draw
27.5%
Aparecida
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 25.9% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 24.7% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • The chances for Aparecida have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Florgrade - Aparecida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.64)
    3.29
    (3.5)
    4.85
    (4.85)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Florgrade has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aparecida is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Florgrade is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Florgrade
    07.12.2025 Resende - Florgrade 1:1
    29.11.2025 Florgrade - Salgueiros 08 1:1
    09.11.2025 Beira-Mar - Florgrade 1:0
    02.11.2025 Florgrade - Anadia 2:1
    26.10.2025 Gouveia - Florgrade 0:1
    Latest results of Aparecida
    07.12.2025 Aparecida - Leça 3:4
    29.11.2025 Vila Real - Aparecida 2:1
    09.11.2025 Aparecida - Rebordosa 0:3
    02.11.2025 Aparecida - Vila Meã 2:1
    26.10.2025 Resende - Aparecida 0:0