Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8, Nova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.22
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
87
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Long passes
41% (26/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)59% (76/129)
Crosses
37% (7/19)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.34
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
4323
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.221.50
Goals prevented
0.22-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Pauli J. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. , Herrmann L. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Harres P. , Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Nekic I. , Niehoff N. (A),
  • 54', Boeder L. , Froling N. ,
  • 63', Niehoff N. , Tolkin J. ,
  • 64', Kapralik A. , Therkelsen J. ,
  • 74', Pauli J. , Kammerknecht C. ,
  • 74', Herrmann L. , Sapina V. ,
  • 75', Nekic I. , Roslyng F. ,
  • 75', Skrzybski S. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 84', Hauptmann N. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 84', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 88', Wagner R. , Davidsen K. ,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
51.1%
Draw
25.6%
Dynamo Dresden
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 26.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.2% 26.7%

Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(2.05)
3.68
(3.56)
4.03
(3.36)
6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Dynamo Dresden (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Holstein Kiel is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke20123524:141039
    2Elversberg20115437:201738
    3Darmstadt20108236:221438
    4Paderborn20113631:23836
    5Hannover20105535:27835
    6Kaiserslautern2094735:27831
    7Hertha Berlin2087525:20531
    8Bochum2075829:26326
    9Nurnberg2075823:28-526
    10Karlsruher SC2075829:36-726
    11Holstein Kiel2066825:26-124
    12Braunschweig20731021:32-1124
    13Dusseldorf20721119:30-1123
    14Arminia Bielefeld2056930:28221
    15Preussen Munster2056924:31-721
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20551029:36-720
    17Magdeburg20621226:33-720
    18Greuther Furth20541128:47-1919

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          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga