Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
20/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8, Nova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.22
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
87
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Long passes
41% (26/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)59% (76/129)
Crosses
37% (7/19)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.34
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
4323
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.221.50
Goals prevented
0.22-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Pauli J. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Herrmann L. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
  • 54', Boeder L. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
  • 63', Niehoff N. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
  • 64', Kapralik A. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
  • 74', Pauli J. ↓, Kammerknecht C. ↑,
  • 74', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
  • 75', Nekic I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
  • 75', Skrzybski S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
  • 84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 84', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 88', Wagner R. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
51.1%		Draw
25.6%		Dynamo Dresden
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 26.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.2% 26.7%

Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.85 ↓
(2.05)		 3.68 ↑
(3.56)		 4.03 ↑
(3.36)		 6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 2.5% – 64.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Holstein Kiel is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    13.12.2025 Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 3:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    12.12.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Bochum - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke16121321:81337
    2Elversberg16103330:141633
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1685329:20929
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    9Bochum1763823:22121
    10Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    11Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    12Preussen Munster1654721:25-419
    13Nurnberg1654717:22-519
    14Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    15Braunschweig1652918:28-1017
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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