Sestao vs Basconia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
18/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Quintero I. ,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Urzaiz U. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 1 - 2, Castillo Marcilla A. ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Benito A. ,

Chances of winning


Sestao
47%
Draw
27.3%
Basconia
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 26.7% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 29.2% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.
  • Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basconia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sestao - Basconia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.76)
    3.35
    (3.45)
    3.56
    (4.39)
    9.4%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.
    • Recent performances by Sestao have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Basconia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sestao will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Basconia were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Basconia - Sestao 3:1
    Latest results of Sestao
    12.04.2026 UD Logroñés - Sestao 2:0
    05.04.2026 Sestao - Beasain 1:1
    29.03.2026 Náxara - Sestao 1:1
    22.03.2026 Sestao - Mutilvera 4:0
    14.03.2026 Ebro - Sestao 1:1
    Latest results of Basconia
    12.04.2026 Basconia - Mutilvera 4:0
    05.04.2026 SD Logroñés - Basconia 0:3
    29.03.2026 Basconia - Alfaro 6:4
    22.03.2026 Alavés B - Basconia 0:0
    14.03.2026 Basconia - Tudelano 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1R. Union34209564:352969
    2Alaves B341711641:202162
    3UD Logrones34187973:334061
    4Utebo FC341771056:421458
    5Tudelano34169956:401657
    6Amorebieta3413111038:32650
    7Sestao341214840:33750
    8Ebro341116742:36649
    9Eibar B341471341:42-149
    10Basconia341114955:431247
    11Gernika341291334:40-645
    12Naxara341181539:48-941
    13SD Logrones348131322:40-1837
    14Beasain348121438:46-836
    15Ejea348111535:55-2035
    16Mutilvera34862031:65-3430
    17Zaragoza B34772032:59-2728
    18Alfaro34672132:60-2825

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