Ospitaletto vs Novara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group A - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
55
Corner kicks
82
Yellow cards
03
Total shots
108
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Casali M. (Own goal),
  • 30', 0 - 2, Lanini E. ,
  • 43', Valdesi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gualandris M. , Messaggi C. ,
  • 46', Tornaghi P. , Sina S. ,
  • 52', Arboscello R. 🟨,
  • 55', Lanini E. , Dell'Erba D. ,
  • 55', Valdesi A. , Scarpetta J. ,
  • 55', Arboscello R. , Cortese A. ,
  • 60', Maucci G. , Guarneri M. ,
  • 60', Mondini G. , Ievoli M. ,
  • 65', Cortese A. 🟨,
  • 72', Morosini L. , Malaspina M. ,
  • 85', da Graca C. , Donadio C. ,
  • 88', Casali M. , De Matteis G. ,

Chances of winning


Ospitaletto
33.4%
Draw
30.6%
Novara
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 26.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 25.6% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ospitaletto's form might have worsened.
  • Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospitaletto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ospitaletto - Novara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.03)
    2.96
    (3.44)
    2.52
    (3.3)
    10.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ospitaletto - Novara?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • EH -1 - Novara (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).
    • Ospitaletto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ospitaletto - Novara were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Novara - Ospitaletto 0:3
    Latest results of Ospitaletto
    19.04.2026 Pro Vercelli - Ospitaletto 1:0
    12.04.2026 Ospitaletto - AlbinoLeffe 3:0
    21.03.2026 Brescia - Ospitaletto 0:0
    Latest results of Novara
    19.04.2026 Novara - Cittadella 0:1
    11.04.2026 Vicenza Virtus - Novara 3:1
    03.04.2026 Novara - Lumezzane 1:3
    28.03.2026 Renate - Novara 3:1
    22.03.2026 Novara - Alcione 3:0
    Italian Serie C Group A Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1L.R. Vicenza38278369:264389
    2Brescia381912749:242569
    3Renate381713853:371664
    4Lecco3818101047:341364
    5Trento381615758:421663
    6Cittadella381781345:43259
    7Lumezzane3814141046:39756
    8Alcione Milano3815101335:28755
    9Arzignano381581550:48253
    10Giana Erminio3814101438:39-152
    11AlbinoLeffe3813111451:49250
    12Inter U233812121440:41-148
    13Novara38920940:39147
    14Pro Vercelli381371839:55-1646
    15Ospitaletto3810151341:43-245
    16Pergolettese3810111737:50-1341
    17Dolomiti Bellunesi3810101838:61-2340
    18Virtus Verona383161934:62-2825
    19Pro Patria384112334:70-3623
    20Triestina38992045:59-1412

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
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