Result
0:2
25/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 38
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
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| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Casali M. (Own goal),
- 30', 0 - 2, Lanini E. ⚽,
- 43', Valdesi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gualandris M. ↓, Messaggi C. ↑,
- 46', Tornaghi P. ↓, Sina S. ↑,
- 52', Arboscello R. 🟨,
- 55', Lanini E. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 55', Valdesi A. ↓, Scarpetta J. ↑,
- 55', Arboscello R. ↓, Cortese A. ↑,
- 60', Maucci G. ↓, Guarneri M. ↑,
- 60', Mondini G. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,
- 65', Cortese A. 🟨,
- 72', Morosini L. ↓, Malaspina M. ↑,
- 85', da Graca C. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
- 88', Casali M. ↓, De Matteis G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ospitaletto 33.4% | Draw 30.6% | Novara 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ospitaletto's form might have worsened.Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospitaletto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ospitaletto - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.72 ↑ (2.03) |
2.96 ↓ (3.44) |
2.52 ↓ (3.3) |
10.2% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ospitaletto - Novara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH -1 - Novara (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).
- Ospitaletto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novara has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ospitaletto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospitaletto won against Novara?
Ospitaletto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Ospitaletto?
Novara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospitaletto - Novara were as follows:
21.12.2025
Novara
-
Ospitaletto
0:3
Latest results of Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 43 | 89 |
| 2 | Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 16 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 16 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 2 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 7 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 2 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | -1 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 1 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | -2 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | -28 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | -36 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Relegation