Real Unión vs Herbania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 78', 1 - 1, ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Real Unión
47.5%
Draw
28.3%
Herbania
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40% 23.4% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Herbania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Unión that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herbania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Unión - Herbania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.93)
    3.21
    (3.3)
    3.74
    (3.6)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Real Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Herbania has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Real Unión could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Real Unión
    23.11.2025 Telde - Real Unión 1:1
    14.11.2025 Real Unión - Marino 0:0
    09.11.2025 Mensajero - Real Unión 2:0
    31.10.2025 Real Unión - Tenerife C 0:0
    Latest results of Herbania
    07.12.2025 Lanzarote - Herbania 1:0
    22.11.2025 Las Palmas C - Herbania 4:1
    11.11.2025 Telde - Herbania 3:2
    01.11.2025 Herbania - Marino 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso331812350:183266
    2San Fernando33199549:222766
    3Mensajero33179750:311960
    4Tamaraceite33186951:351660
    5Las Palmas C33159958:411754
    6Panaderia33159947:331454
    7Tenerife C331410949:45452
    8Lanzarote3312111045:36947
    9Villa Santa Brigida331451439:35447
    10Real Union Tenerife331281334:32244
    11CD Marino338151043:38539
    12Yaiza331071633:43-1037
    13San Miguel33991536:43-736
    14San Bartolome337121429:55-2633
    15Herbania337101638:57-1931
    16Arucas336121529:46-1730
    17SD Tenisca33672031:63-3225
    18Telde335101830:68-3825

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