Athletic Palermo vs Ragusa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Micoli N. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Palermo
50.3%
Draw
30%
Ragusa
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 27% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 28.3% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Palermo's performance.
  • Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ragusa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Palermo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ragusa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Athletic Palermo - Ragusa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.26)
    3.02
    (3.36)
    4.61
    (2.77)
    10.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Athletic Palermo - Ragusa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ragusa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Athletic Palermo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ragusa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Athletic Palermo is seen as the favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Latest results of Ragusa
    14.12.2025 Ragusa - Acireale 2:0
    07.12.2025 Sancataldese - Ragusa 0:0
    30.11.2025 Ragusa - ACR Messina 0:0
    16.11.2025 Ragusa - Savoia 3:2
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Athletic Palermo28166652:351754
    2Nissa28158537:241353
    3Savoia28149548:272151
    4Reggina27145831:191247
    5Igea Virtus271312242:222046
    6Gelbison28119835:29642
    7Sambiase28119828:22642
    8Milazzo281261029:29042
    9Gela281231337:37038
    10Vigor Lamezia281061236:28836
    11Enna277101043:42131
    12USD Ragusa286111121:29-829
    13Vibonese286101225:39-1428
    14Castrumfavara28761524:39-1527
    15AS Acireale27691233:44-1126
    16ACR Messina28911823:27-424
    17Sancataldese28661627:39-1224
    18Paterno28461818:58-4018

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation