Agoncillo vs San Marcial – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Reinaldo A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 61', 2 - 0, ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Agoncillo
57.3%
Draw
24.8%
San Marcial
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 25% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 23.8% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • San Marcial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Agoncillo - San Marcial Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.57)
    3.64
    (3.61)
    5.06
    (5.2)
    10.6%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Agoncillo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Marcial has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Agoncillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Agoncillo is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Agoncillo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Agoncillo
    14.12.2025 La Calzada - Agoncillo 2:3
    06.12.2025 Agoncillo - Varea 0:1
    15.11.2025 Agoncillo - Autol 3:2
    08.11.2025 Berceo - Agoncillo 1:6
    Latest results of San Marcial
    13.12.2025 San Marcial - Villegas 0:1
    23.11.2025 San Marcial - Comillas 0:1
    16.11.2025 Vianés - San Marcial 1:0
    09.11.2025 San Marcial - Arnedo 0:0
    01.11.2025 Yagüe - San Marcial 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

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