Dorchester Town vs Weymouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier South - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Wooding C. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Bearwish T. ,
  • 45+6', 1 - 2, Goodship B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Dorchester Town
49.2%
Draw
25.2%
Weymouth
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25.4% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 21.3% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorchester Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weymouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dorchester Town - Weymouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.85)
    3.62
    (3.56)
    3.58
    (3.5)
    9.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 0.
    • Dorchester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Weymouth has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Dorchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dorchester is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).
    Latest results of Dorchester Town
    Latest results of Weymouth
    13.12.2025 Weymouth - Berkhamsted 0:1
    06.12.2025 Chertsey Town - Weymouth 4:0
    29.11.2025 Weymouth - Uxbridge 0:0
    26.11.2025 Gosport Borough - Weymouth 4:3
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham31234476:284873
    2Gloucester32197672:423064
    3Poole32187767:392861
    4Farnham28177471:373458
    5Sholing311312656:421451
    6Chertsey31149847:351251
    7Gosport321561159:54551
    8Berkhamsted321391044:42248
    9Havant & W321451359:54547
    10Bracknell331281351:58-744
    11Uxbridge3311101253:56-343
    12Wimborne3010101043:40340
    13Evesham319101240:40037
    14Hanwell Town291061340:45-536
    15Basingstoke321061642:55-1336
    16Dorchester32991440:56-1636
    17Hungerford33991544:66-2236
    18Yate Town32971640:52-1234
    19Weymouth33871836:62-2631
    20Taunton31861746:59-1330
    21Plymouth Parkway30861637:61-2430
    22Tiverton28422230:70-4014

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation