Result
3:2
15/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 07:40, 1 - 0, Mindubayev R. (G), Ryabinin D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:00, 1 - 1, Bunakov N. (G), Seleznev G. (A),
- 15:34, 2 - 1, Petrushenko D. (G),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:58, 2 - 2, Seleznev G. (G), Bunakov N. (A), Nikiforov V. (A2)
- 14:23, 3 - 2, Krdzhonyan Y. (G),
Chances of winning
Gvardiya Krasnodar
38.9% | Draw
21.8% | Samara
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gvardiya Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.35) |
4.15 ↑
(4.1) |
2.3 ↑
(2.28) |
10.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
Preview Facts
- Gvardiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samara's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Samara has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gvardiya Krasnodar won against Samara?
Gvardiya Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samara won against Gvardiya Krasnodar?
Samara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara were as follows:
14.01.2026
Gvardiya Krasnodar
-
Samara
5:1
25.12.2025
Samara
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
3:2
24.12.2025
Samara
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
2:3
Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 38 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 154:60 | 72 |
| 2 | Dizelist ✔ | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 132:82 | 58 |
| 3 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 35 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 160:70 | 58 |
| 4 | Bobrov | 39 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 155:97 | 50 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk | 40 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 132:107 | 49 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK | 40 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 114:104 | 47 |
| 7 | HC Krasnodar | 37 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 110:120 | 38 |
| 8 | Progress Glazov | 38 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 103:126 | 37 |
| 9 | HK Samara | 40 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 108:128 | 35 |
| 10 | Proton | 39 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 102:124 | 34 |
| 11 | Tambov | 38 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 83:124 | 27 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 38 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 69:139 | 23 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 40 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 73:214 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 41 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 198:68 | 73 |
| 2 | Granit ✔ | 37 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 136:89 | 57 |
| 3 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 129:105 | 53 |
| 4 | Kaluga ✔ | 37 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 153:77 | 52 |
| 5 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 36 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 129:89 | 52 |
| 6 | Polot | 38 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 137:133 | 47 |
| 7 | Fakel | 40 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 110:131 | 44 |
| 8 | Voevoda Podolsk | 37 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 95:107 | 41 |
| 9 | Bryansk | 39 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 117:141 | 32 |
| 10 | Arktika | 41 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 90:141 | 31 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 94:155 | 26 |
| 12 | Tverichi | 38 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 77:156 | 18 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 35 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 82:155 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
