Result
2:3
26/12/2025 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (391/476) | 75% (295/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (391/476) | 75% (295/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (102/156) | 46% (41/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/36) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Marega M. ⚽, Al Qahtani Z. (A),
- 28', Sunbul Y. ↓, Al Shaikh M. ↑,
- 45+2', Al Otaibi M. 🟨,
- 45+8', 0 - 2, Marega M. ⚽, Rodriguez O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', Al Qahtani Z. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 3, Al Farhan S. ⚽,
- 58', Shami A. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 3, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽, Tweh S. (A),
- 64', Al Yousif A. ↓, Al Zahrani A. ↑,
- 64', Shami A. ↓, Abdulrazaq F. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez O. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
- 74', Al Farhan S. ↓, Al Qarni I. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 3, Al Shaikh M. ⚽,
- 84', Narvaez J. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
- 87', Diandy C. ↓, Al Jaafari A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
- 90+7', Laborde G. ↓, Al Saeed S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Raed
28.2% | Draw
25.9% | Al-Diriyah
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Raed's form might have worsened.Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Diriyah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Raed, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Diriyah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Raed - Al-Diriyah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.64) |
3.5 ↑
(3.36) |
1.98 ↓
(2.4) |
10.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Diriyah?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Diriyah will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Diriyah (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Al Raed has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Diriyah is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Diriyah?
Al Raed has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Diriyah won against Al Raed?
Al-Diriyah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Diriyah were as follows:
Latest results of Al Raed
Latest results of Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 56:24 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 51:25 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Al-Faisaly | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Orubah | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 38 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Taee | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | Al Anwar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:44 | -24 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 32:57 | -25 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12:43 | -31 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
