Result
25/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Ahly Tripoli
61% | Draw
22.7% | Al-Madina
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahly Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahly Tripoli's performance.Al-Madina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Madina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahly Tripoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Madina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Madina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.69) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
5.6 ↑
(4.2) |
10%
(10%) | |
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- Al-Ahly Tripoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Madina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Al-Ahly Tripoli has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Al-Madina has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ahly Tripoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahly Tripoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahly Tripoli won against Al-Madina?
Al-Ahly Tripoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Madina won against Al-Ahly Tripoli?
Al-Madina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina were as follows:
25.12.2025
Al-Madina
-
Al-Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ahly Tripoli
Latest results of Al-Madina
Libyan Premier League Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 38 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | Al-Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 13 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 33:9 | 24 | 39 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 18 |
| 7 | Al-Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | -23 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | -14 | 10 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | -22 | 6 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | -37 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
