Result
25/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Ahly Tripoli
61% | Draw
22.7% | Al-Madina
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahly Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahly Tripoli's performance.Al-Madina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Madina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahly Tripoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Madina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Madina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.69) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
5.6 ↑
(4.2) |
10%
(10%) | |
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- Al-Ahly Tripoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Madina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Al-Ahly Tripoli has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Al-Madina has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ahly Tripoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahly Tripoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahly Tripoli won against Al-Madina?
Al-Ahly Tripoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Madina won against Al-Ahly Tripoli?
Al-Madina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina were as follows:
25.12.2025
Al-Madina
-
Al-Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ahly Tripoli
Latest results of Al-Madina
Libyan Premier League Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 30:5 | 25 | 32 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 4 | Assabah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Watan | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Al Qadisiyah | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 13 |
| 8 | Al-Khmes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 6 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22:6 | 16 | 28 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 |
| 5 | Al-Majd | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Tirsana | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Shomooa | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Military Union | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Al Taawun | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Sadaqa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Darnes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 7 | Al-Anwar | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 6 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nasr | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 3 | Al-Afreeki | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Khaleej Sirte | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Al Tahaddi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Murooj | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0:21 | -21 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
