Al-Faisaly vs Al Raed – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.33
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
89
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
79% (269/339)80% (342/425)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.851.33
xG on target (xGOT)
3.231.14
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
89
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
79% (269/339)80% (342/425)
Long passes
56% (32/57)39% (26/66)
Passes in final third
63% (45/72)69% (101/147)
Crosses
40% (2/5)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.03
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1715
Tackles
88% (7/8)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.143.23
Goals prevented
-1.86-1.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Luvannor ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Luvannor , Al Rahmani S. (A),
  • 29', Raphael Silva 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Tweh S. , Gonzalez O. (A),
  • 37', Jahfali M. , Al Harbi H. ,
  • 38', 2 - 2, Al Salouli S. , Bouzok Y. (A),
  • 45', Al Salouli S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 3 - 2, Morato ,
  • 61', 4 - 2, Eduardo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', Morato 🟨,
  • 66', Al Shereaf A. , Barnawi Y. ,
  • 66', Al Shereaf A. , Issa J. ,
  • 70', Shami A. , Yoda K. ,
  • 70', Al Yousif A. , Abdulrazaq F. ,
  • 72', Gabous S. 🟨,
  • 74', Al Rahmani S. 🟨,
  • 86', Issa J. , Al Fuhaid M. ,
  • 87', Al Shaikh M. , Al Shaikhi A. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Al Shanqiti W. ,
  • 90+8', 5 - 3, Al Nakhli M. , Luvannor (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Faisaly
39%
Draw
29.6%
Al Raed
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 28.6% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 27.8% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Al-Faisaly - Al Raed Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.45)
    3.06
    (3.15)
    2.89
    (2.61)
    10.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Faisaly - Al Raed?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.
    • Al-Faisaly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al Raed has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    26.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Jeddah 0:0
    20.12.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly 0:4
    14.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah 0:0
    28.11.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly 0:1
    23.11.2025 Al-Diriyah - Al-Faisaly 1:1
    Latest results of Al Raed
    26.12.2025 Al Raed - Al-Diriyah 2:3
    21.12.2025 Al-Orobah - Al Raed 0:0
    14.12.2025 Al Raed - Jeddah 0:0
    29.11.2025 Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca 2:1
    23.11.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al Raed 2:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah24164456:243252
    3Al-Ula25147451:252649
    4Al Jabalain25147448:272149
    5Al-Faisaly25129451:302145
    6Al Orubah25135740:33744
    7Al Raed25108745:341138
    8Al Bukiryah251041128:36-834
    9Al Zulfi2588931:32-132
    10Al Wehda25951139:43-432
    11Al Taee25871037:38-131
    12Jeddah25710828:32-431
    13Al Anwar2579934:37-330
    14Al Jandal25581220:44-2423
    15Al Adalah25381432:57-2517
    16Al Arabi25441712:43-3116
    17Al Batin24351625:47-2214
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

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