Result
5:3
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (269/339) | 80% (342/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (269/339) | 80% (342/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 69% (101/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.86 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Luvannor ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Luvannor ⚽, Al Rahmani S. (A),
- 29', Raphael Silva 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Tweh S. ⚽, Gonzalez O. (A),
- 37', Jahfali M. ↓, Al Harbi H. ↑,
- 38', 2 - 2, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
- 45', Al Salouli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 2, Morato ⚽,
- 61', 4 - 2, Eduardo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Morato 🟨,
- 66', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Barnawi Y. ↑,
- 66', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Issa J. ↑,
- 70', Shami A. ↓, Yoda K. ↑,
- 70', Al Yousif A. ↓, Abdulrazaq F. ↑,
- 72', Gabous S. 🟨,
- 74', Al Rahmani S. 🟨,
- 86', Issa J. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
- 87', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
- 90+5', 4 - 3, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽,
- 90+8', 5 - 3, Al Nakhli M. ⚽, Luvannor (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Faisaly 39% | Draw 29.6% | Al Raed 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Al-Faisaly - Al Raed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.32 ↓ (2.45) |
3.06 ↓ (3.15) |
2.89 ↑ (2.61) |
10.4% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Faisaly - Al Raed?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.
- Al-Faisaly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al Raed has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Faisaly won against Al Raed?
Al-Faisaly has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Faisaly?
Al Raed has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Faisaly - Al Raed were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Faisaly
Latest results of Al Raed
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 56:24 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 51:25 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Al-Faisaly | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Orubah | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 38 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Taee | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | Al Anwar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:44 | -24 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 32:57 | -25 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12:43 | -31 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
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