James McCabe vs Mark Lajal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/01/2026 at 00:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
102
Double Faults
07
1st Serve Percentage
54%55%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (36/44)71% (35/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (23/37)55% (22/40)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (14/49)18% (8/44)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (18/40)38% (14/37)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)33% (1/3)
Winners
2612
Unforced Errors
4338
Net Points Won
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Service Points Won
73% (58/79)64% (57/89)
Return Points Won
36% (32/89)27% (21/79)
Total Points Won
54% (90/168)46% (78/168)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
07
Service Games Won
92% (11/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)8% (1/12)
Total Games Won
50% (12/24)50% (12/24)

Chances of winning


James McCabe
40.2%
Mark Lajal
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • James McCabe - Mark Lajal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.6)

    1.55
    (1.44)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • McCabe is ranked ATP: 193. Lajal is ranked ATP: 149.
    • In recent matches, McCabe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lajal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Lajal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of James McCabe
    Latest results of Mark Lajal
    20.11.2025 Mark Lajal - Justin Engel Engel J. walkover
    17.11.2025 Mark Lajal - Luka Mikrut Canceled
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Nishikori K. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Cassone M. (Q)Klein L.1 : 2
    3Carballes Baena R.Smith C.2 : 0
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Blockx A. (6)0 : 2
    5Barrios Vera T. (4)Sekulic P. (WC)2 : 0
    6Blanchet U.Rocha H.2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (WC)Lajal M.2 : 0
    8Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Holt B. (5)2 : 0
    9Lajovic D. (8)Ofner S.2 : 0
    10Mejia N. (Q)Engel J. (NG)1 : 2
    11Galan D. E.Neumayer L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Jacquet K.Nishioka Y. (3)2 : 1
    13Moller E. (7)Faria J.0 : 2
    14Jodar R. (Q)Jarry N.2 : 0
    15Shimabukuro S.Winter E. (WC)2 : 0
    16Rodesch C. (Q)Nardi L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Klein L.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R.Blockx A. (6)1 : 2
    3Barrios Vera T. (4)Blanchet U.2 : 1
    4McCabe J.Pinnington Jones J.2 : 0
    5Lajovic D. (8)Engel J.2 : 0
    6Galan D. E.Jacquet K.0 : 2
    7Faria J.Jodar R.0 : 2
    8Shimabukuro S.Rodesch C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Blockx A. (6)1 : 2
    2Barrios Vera T. (4)McCabe J.0 : 2
    3Lajovic D. (8)Jacquet K.0 : 2
    4Jodar R.Shimabukuro S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Blockx A. (6)McCabe J.2 : 1
    2Jacquet K. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1

    Final
    1Blockx A. (6)Jodar R.2 : 0