Samara vs Dizelist Penza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
10/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NMHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:30, 1 - 0, Ilyin A. (G), Krugomov A. (A), Polotov M. (A2)
  • 12:04, 1 - 1, Golovinov K. (G), Kondratyev A. (A),
  • 16:50, 1 - 2, Evseev K. (G), Yasyankin N. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:22, 2 - 2, Zhomov A. (G), Fokeichev G. (A), Ponomaryov A. (A2)
  • 19:03, 2 - 3, Sgibov R. (G), Gafarov G. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 06:35, 2 - 4, Nigmatullin D. (G), Moskvin K. (A),
  • 14:17, 3 - 4, Polotov M. (G), Ponomaryov A. (A), Ilyin A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Samara
27.6%
Draw
21.2%
Dizelist Penza
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 21.7% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 23% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Dizelist Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Samara - Dizelist Penza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.17)
    4.3
    (4.2)
    1.78
    (1.84)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • Samara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dizelist is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • Dizelist will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
    • Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samara - Dizelist Penza were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Samara - Dizelist Penza 4:6
    Latest results of Samara
    09.01.2026 Samara - Dizelist Penza 4:6
    21.12.2025 Samara - Belgorod 8:2
    20.12.2025 Samara - Belgorod 5:4
    Latest results of Dizelist Penza
    NMHL Table
    2025/26

    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1MHK Ryazan ✔ 4840521192:6992
    2Yermak Angarsk ✔ 4835427223:9680
    3Dizelist ✔ 48276114160:10867
    4Bobrov ✔ 48284214187:11466
    5Sokol Novocheboksarsk ✔ 48189615155:12360
    6Kristall BDK ✔ 48184719127:13151
    7Progress Glazov ✔ 48167421137:16250
    8HC Krasnodar48181722141:17045
    9Proton48201225124:15144
    10HK Samara48146424127:14444
    11Tambov48106428106:15436
    12Lipetsk4853103089:18226
    13Belgorod486163594:25820


    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Buran Moscow ✔ 4841133238:8287
    2Kaluga ✔ 48296211203:10172
    3Granit ✔ 48266511168:12369
    4Dinamo 576 ✔ 48274512171:12067
    5Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ 47218612171:14164
    6Polot ✔ 48224715176:17359
    7Voevoda Podolsk ✔ 48224517130:14857
    8Fakel ✔ 48206418140:15656
    9Bryansk47145424145:16742
    10Arktika4886727106:16435
    11Tayfun48123231112:17832
    12Leningradets4862535109:21621
    13Tverichi483553595:19521

          Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bobrov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sokol Novocheboksarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Kristall BDK is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Progress Glazov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Polot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Voevoda Podolsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Fakel is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)