Result
3:4
10/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 03:30, 1 - 0, Ilyin A. (G), Krugomov A. (A), Polotov M. (A2)
- 12:04, 1 - 1, Golovinov K. (G), Kondratyev A. (A),
- 16:50, 1 - 2, Evseev K. (G), Yasyankin N. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:22, 2 - 2, Zhomov A. (G), Fokeichev G. (A), Ponomaryov A. (A2)
- 19:03, 2 - 3, Sgibov R. (G), Gafarov G. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:35, 2 - 4, Nigmatullin D. (G), Moskvin K. (A),
- 14:17, 3 - 4, Polotov M. (G), Ponomaryov A. (A), Ilyin A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Samara 27.6% | Draw 21.2% | Dizelist Penza 51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Dizelist Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Samara - Dizelist Penza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.3 ↑ (3.17) |
4.3 ↑ (4.2) |
1.78 ↓ (1.84) |
9.7% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- Samara has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dizelist is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Dizelist will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
- Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Samara won against Dizelist Penza?
Samara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dizelist Penza won against Samara?
Dizelist Penza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samara - Dizelist Penza were as follows:
09.01.2026
Samara
-
Dizelist Penza
4:6
Latest results of Dizelist Penza
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 48 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 192:69 | 92 |
| 2 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 48 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 223:96 | 80 |
| 3 | Dizelist ✔ | 48 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 160:108 | 67 |
| 4 | Bobrov ✔ | 48 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 187:114 | 66 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk ✔ | 48 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 155:123 | 60 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK ✔ | 48 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 127:131 | 51 |
| 7 | Progress Glazov ✔ | 48 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 137:162 | 50 |
| 8 | HC Krasnodar | 48 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 141:170 | 45 |
| 9 | Proton | 48 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 124:151 | 44 |
| 10 | HK Samara | 48 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 127:144 | 44 |
| 11 | Tambov | 48 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 106:154 | 36 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 48 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 89:182 | 26 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 48 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 94:258 | 20 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 48 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 238:82 | 87 |
| 2 | Kaluga ✔ | 48 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 203:101 | 72 |
| 3 | Granit ✔ | 48 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 168:123 | 69 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 48 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 171:120 | 67 |
| 5 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 47 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 171:141 | 64 |
| 6 | Polot ✔ | 48 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 176:173 | 59 |
| 7 | Voevoda Podolsk ✔ | 48 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 130:148 | 57 |
| 8 | Fakel ✔ | 48 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 140:156 | 56 |
| 9 | Bryansk | 47 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 145:167 | 42 |
| 10 | Arktika | 48 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 106:164 | 35 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 48 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 112:178 | 32 |
| 12 | Leningradets | 48 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 109:216 | 21 |
| 13 | Tverichi | 48 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 95:195 | 21 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bobrov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sokol Novocheboksarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kristall BDK is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Progress Glazov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Polot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Voevoda Podolsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Fakel is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)