Montpellier vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
33:31
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports 2, France 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby
worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV

Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
44
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 24)
  • 7', Darmon T. (Try),
  • 8', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 10', Murphy B. (Try),
  • 11', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Akrab L. (Try),
  • 18', Coly L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Tierney-Martin D. (Try),
  • 22', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Treacy F. (Try),
  • 35', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40+2', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (19 - 7)
  • 46', Gilbert S. (Try),
  • 47', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Rates M. (Try),
  • 66', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Bernadet A. (Try),
  • 74', Welsch V. (Try),
  • 75', Hogg S. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Montpellier
79.5%
Draw
3.4%
Connacht
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
77.2% 3.6% 19.3%

Montpellier - Connacht Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.17
(1.2)
27.28
(25.88)
5.17
(4.78)
8.7%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Connacht?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -10.5 - Montpellier (1.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -11.5 - Montpellier (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -12.5 - Montpellier (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -11 - Montpellier (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -14.5 - Montpellier (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:19.
  • Preview Facts
    • Montpellier is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Connacht's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Montpellier is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 55:52. (average 27.5:26).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:29.
    Latest results of Montpellier
    28.12.2025 Section Paloise - Montpellier 35:33
    20.12.2025 Montpellier - Castres 33:31
    12.12.2025 Montpellier - Zebre 31:7
    06.12.2025 Black Lion - Montpellier 13:24
    Latest results of Connacht
    03.01.2026 Leinster - Connacht 52:17
    27.12.2025 Connacht - Ulster 24:29
    13.12.2025 Connacht - Black Lion 52:0
    07.12.2025 Ospreys - Connacht 24:21
    Challenge Cup Rugby Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Montpellier4400119:7720
    2Zebre430199:8114
    3Ospreys4202102:9713
    4Connacht4202179:7113
    5Black Lion410358:1325
    6Montauban400481:1802


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Benetton4400182:8919
    2Newcastle Red Bulls430175:7813
    3Dragons420296:1489
    4USA Perpignan4112111:1078
    5Lions411290:938
    6Lyon400487:1263


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1Ulster4301141:5517
    2Stade Francais Paris4301129:9016
    3Exeter Chiefs4211129:7014
    4Cardiff Rugby420278:10810
    5Racing 92411282:1528
    6Cheetahs400462:1462

          Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)