Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
21/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 7
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 6
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaVoyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 7
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 6, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 6, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.00
Total shots
144
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
71
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
168
Passes
85% (568/669)66% (192/293)
Long passes
58% (26/45)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)45% (36/80)
Crosses
36% (10/28)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.87
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
816
Tackles
57% (8/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
1538
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
2.001.96
Goals prevented
-1.00-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Scamacca G. , Zalewski N. (A),
  • 22', Vivian D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Boiro A. , Sancet O. ,
  • 54', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Guruzeta G. , Navarro R. (A),
  • 59', Rego A. , Ruiz de Galarreta I. ,
  • 59', Jauregizar M. , Vesga M. ,
  • 66', Zalewski N. , Lookman A. ,
  • 66', Scamacca G. , Krstovic N. ,
  • 68', Gomez U. , Serrano N. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Serrano N. , Navarro R. (A),
  • 74', 1 - 3, Navarro R. , Sancet O. (A),
  • 76', Kolasinac S. , Ahanor H. ,
  • 76', Zappacosta D. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 81', Gorosabel A. , Areso J. ,
  • 82', Bernasconi L. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Krstovic N. , Lookman A. (A),
  • 90+5', Carnesecchi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
55.9%
Draw
25.7%
Athletic Bilbao
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.3% 23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 25.6% 22.6%

Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.9)
3.72
(3.64)
5.19
(4.13)
4.5%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atalanta (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atalanta (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (80 of 91 users predict this - 87.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.21%94.61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Athletic (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atalanta is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Athletic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atalanta is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Bellanova R. (Injury) Godfrey B. (Inactive) Raspadori G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Berchiche Y. (Muscle Injury) Berenguer A. (Toe Injury) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Izeta (Inactive) Laporte A. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury) Williams I. (Muscle Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Djimsiti B. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Atalanta
    16.01.2026 Pisa - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2026 Atalanta - Torino 2:0
    07.01.2026 Bologna - Atalanta 0:2
    03.01.2026 Atalanta - Roma 1:0
    28.12.2025 Atalanta - Inter Milan 0:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)