Capivariano vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilHBO Max

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.600.27
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
70
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
42
Passes
81% (360/443)72% (240/334)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.600.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.00
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
511
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
57
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
516
Passes
81% (360/443)72% (240/334)
Long passes
57% (34/60)27% (14/51)
Passes in final third
74% (110/148)50% (53/105)
Crosses
31% (4/13)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.26
Throw ins
2930
Fouls
165
Tackles
67% (10/15)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4853
Clearances
2520
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.80
Goals prevented
0.00-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Rodolfo ,
  • 30', Machado R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Rodolfo , Vinicius Popo ,
  • 46', Machado R. , Gustavo Almeida ,
  • 46', Matheus , Kaio Ganga ,
  • 46', Nikolas Francisco , Lucas Emanuel ,
  • 49', Gustavo Almeida 🟨,
  • 54', Ravanelli , Thiago Moraes ,
  • 57', Mike , Matheus Guilherme ,
  • 57', Felipe Azevedo , Baianinho ,
  • 59', Diego Tavares , Julio ,
  • 74', Vinicius Guedes , Lucas Dias ,
  • 79', Diogo Mateus 🟨,
  • 79', Bruno Lopes , Joao Damiao ,
  • 90+1', Baianinho 🟨,
  • 90+4', Vinicius Popo 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Baianinho ,

Chances of winning


Capivariano
52.8%
Draw
28.8%
Ponte Preta
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 31.4% 27.1%

Capivariano - Ponte Preta Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(2.21)
3.25
(2.92)
5
(3.39)
7.3%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Capivariano - Ponte Preta?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Capivariano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Capivariano (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ponte Preta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Capivariano is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Capivariano: Ricardo Cerqueira (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Capivariano: Bastos R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Joao Gabriel (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    Latest results of Capivariano
    13.01.2026 Capivariano - Portuguesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 EC Primavera - Capivariano 1:2
    02.04.2025 Capivariano - EC Primavera 0:0
    29.03.2025 Capivariano - Ituano 3:1
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    14.01.2026 Ponte Preta - Velo Clube 0:1
    11.01.2026 Corinthians - Ponte Preta 3:0
    25.10.2025 Ponte Preta - Londrina 2:0
    18.10.2025 Londrina - Ponte Preta 0:0
    11.10.2025 Ponte Preta - Guarani 2:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino43109:0910
    2Novorizontino430111:569
    3Palmeiras43013:4-19
    4Sao Bernardo42116:247
    5Capivariano42114:5-17
    6Portuguesa42025:416
    7Primavera31117:614
    8Corinthians31114:404
    9Mirassol41124:404
    10Santos31113:304
    11Velo Clube31111:2-14
    12Sao Paulo41124:7-34
    13Noroeste40313:4-13
    14Guarani30212:4-22
    15Botafogo SP30211:6-52
    16Ponte Preta40040:7-70

          Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A2