Falcons vs Medina United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GFA League - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Falcons
33.1%
Draw
37.6%
Medina United
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 32.1% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 31.1% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcons's form might have worsened.
  • Medina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Falcons - Medina United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.23)
    2.4
    (2.85)
    3.07
    (3.41)
    11%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Falcons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Medina United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Falcons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Falcons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Falcons
    13.01.2026 TMT - Falcons 0:0
    03.01.2026 Banjul Hawks - Falcons 0:0
    22.12.2025 Falcons - Bombada 1:1
    Latest results of Medina United
    13.01.2026 Medina United - BST Galaxy 0:1
    05.01.2026 Medina United - Samger 0:0
    29.12.2025 Medina United - Team Rhino 2:1
    23.12.2025 TMT - Medina United 0:2
    Gambian GFA League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fortune1887319:14531
    2Gambia Ports1879216:10630
    3Real Banjul1878317:11629
    4Bombada1868423:19426
    5Brikama U1875620:19126
    6Hart Academy1867521:17425
    7Medina United1874718:18025
    8Falcons1859413:14-124
    9Hawks1865714:17-323
    10Dutch Lions18410414:11322
    11BST Galaxy1849513:17-421
    12Team Rhino1847714:14019
    13Steve Biko18310514:15-119
    14TMT1847711:17-619
    15Greater Tomorrow1846810:20-1018
    16Samger1837814:18-416

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