Result
2:1
20/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (36/59) | 71% (36/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 34% (11/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 29% (15/51) | 39% (23/59) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (21/32) | 41% (12/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 30% (3/10) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 48 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 78% (14/18) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (53/88) | 57% (47/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (35/82) | 40% (35/88) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (88/170) | 48% (82/170) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 46% (12/26) |
Chances of winning
Ergi Kirkin
41.8% | Thijs Boogaard
58.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ergi Kirkin - Thijs Boogaard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.25) |
|
1.6 ↑
(1.57) |
7.5%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Ergi Kirkin - Thijs Boogaard?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Kirkin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boogaard (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Games - Boogaard (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kirkin (votes: 1 - 25%). Boogaard (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Kirkin is ranked ATP: 556. Boogaard is ranked ATP: 1184.
- Kirkin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Boogaard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boogaard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ergi Kirkin won against Thijs Boogaard?
Ergi Kirkin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thijs Boogaard won against Ergi Kirkin?
Thijs Boogaard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ergi Kirkin - Thijs Boogaard were as follows:
Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
Latest results of Thijs Boogaard
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Den Ouden G. (1) | Butvilas E. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ajdukovic D. | Gulin S. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kirkin E. (Q) | Boogaard T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | McKennon M. (Q) | Pacheco Mendez R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Giustino L. (4) | Blancaneaux G. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mrva M. | Albot R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Geerts M. | Martineau M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Purtseladze S. | Harris L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Popko D. (6) | Coppejans K. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Zakaria F. (WC) | Zahraj P. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Durasovic V. | Paire B. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Gentzsch T. | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Neumayer L. (7) | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bassem Sobhy M. (WC) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Napolitano S. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Gojo B. | Clarke J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Butvilas E. | Ajdukovic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kirkin E. | Pacheco Mendez R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Blancaneaux G. | Mrva M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Geerts M. | Harris L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Coppejans K. | Zahraj P. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Durasovic V. | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Neumayer L. (7) | Bassem Sobhy M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Gojo B. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Butvilas E. | Pacheco Mendez R. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mrva M. | Harris L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zahraj P. | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Neumayer L. (7) | Gojo B. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Butvilas E. | Harris L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pinnington Jones J. (3) | Gojo B. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Harris L. (5) | Pinnington Jones J. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 0 |
