Ilia Simakin vs Daniel Michalski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
63%59%
1st serve points won
74% (46/62)60% (38/63)
2nd serve points won
44% (16/36)43% (19/44)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
1st return points won
40% (25/63)31% (19/62)
2nd return points won
57% (25/44)56% (20/36)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
63% (61/97)53% (56/106)
Return Points Won
47% (50/106)37% (36/97)
Total Points Won
55% (111/203)45% (92/203)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
86% (12/14)57% (8/14)
Return games won
43% (6/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
64% (18/28)36% (10/28)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
60.7%
Daniel Michalski
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%

Ilia Simakin - Daniel Michalski Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.72)

2.4
(1.99)
7%
(8.3%)
What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Daniel Michalski?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Simakin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Simakin (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 Games - Simakin (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 Games - Simakin (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Simakin (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 Games - Simakin (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Ilia Simakin will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Simakin (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 275. Michalski is ranked ATP: 257.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Michalski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Latest results of Daniel Michalski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Jasika O.1 : 2
    2Martin Tiffon P.Simakin I.1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Dodig M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Chung H. (Q)Peniston R. (7)2 : 0
    5Crawford O. (4)Cina F.0 : 2
    6Uchida K.Michalski D.1 : 2
    7Sakellaridis S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Blanch Dar.Hsu Y. H. (8)2 : 1
    9Pavlovic L. (6)Gengel M. (Q)0 : 2
    10Bar Biryukov P.Sun F.2 : 0
    11Marmousez L. (WC)Trotter J. K.2 : 1
    12Sharipov M. (RET.)Skatov T. (3)1 : 1
    13Bailly G. A. (5)Rehberg M. H. (Q)1 : 2
    14Weber A. (Q)Vu Ha Minh Duc (WC)2 : 0
    15Kwon S. (Q)Zhou Y.2 : 0
    16Barsukov N. (WC)Mikrut L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jasika O.Simakin I.0 : 2
    2Bertrand R.Chung H.2 : 1
    3Cina F.Michalski D.0 : 2
    4Ribecai M.Blanch Dar.1 : 2
    5Gengel M.Bar Biryukov P.1 : 2
    6Marmousez L.Skatov T. (3)2 : 0
    7Rehberg M. H.Weber A.2 : 0
    8Kwon S.Barsukov N.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Simakin I.Bertrand R.2 : 1
    2Michalski D.Blanch Dar.2 : 1
    3Bar Biryukov P.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    4Rehberg M. H.Kwon S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Simakin I.Michalski D.2 : 1
    2Marmousez L. (RET.)Kwon S.0 : 1

    Final
    1Simakin I.Kwon S.0 : 2