Result
3:2
28/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
Chances of winning
Nova Mutum 38.7% | Draw 32.8% | Chapada 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nova Mutum - Chapada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↓ (2.7) |
2.76 ↓ (2.95) |
3.19 ↑ (2.35) |
10.2% (13.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Matogrossense 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent form of Nova Mutum has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Chapada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chapada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Nova Mutum won against Chapada?
Nova Mutum has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapada won against Nova Mutum?
Chapada has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Mutum - Chapada were as follows:
Latest results of Nova Mutum
Latest results of Chapada
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mixto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:2 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Cuiaba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Chapada | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Sinop | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Nova Mutum | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Primavera AC | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Vu00e1rzea Grande | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Matogrossense 2