Result
3:1
07/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 7
- Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (385/449) | 80% (238/296) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (385/449) | 80% (238/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 65% (68/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 45+2', Arlen 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 61', Bruninho ↓, Jonathan Balotelli ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽,
- 69', PH ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 69', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Cleiton ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Jefferson Renan ⚽, Julio Henrique (A),
- 79', Hippolito ↓, John Everson ↑,
- 79', Pedrinho ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
- 80', Laercio ↓, Andrade F. ↑,
- 80', Gabriel Moyses ↓, Marcelo Macola ↑,
- 81', Rafinha ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 81', Julio Henrique ↓, Auro ↑,
- 82', Breno Roma 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Andrade F. ⚽,
- 87', Jefferson Renan ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 90+9', Arlen 🟥,
- 90+11', 3 - 1, Ronald (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Tombense
44.2% | Draw
32.4% | URT
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tombense - URT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.24) |
2.85 ↓
(2.98) |
3.94 ↑
(3.22) |
8.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 3.
- In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- URT is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Tombense is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tombense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tombense won against URT?
Tombense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has URT won against Tombense?
URT has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tombense - URT were as follows:
Latest results of Tombense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | URT | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | Democrata GV | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America MG | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Tombense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Pouso Alegre | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 10 |
| 4 | Betim | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | North Esporte Clube | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Itabirito | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Athletic Club | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
Ranking of second-placed teams | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tombense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Mineiro (Play Offs: )
