Chapada vs União Rondonópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Matogrossense - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Tiarinha ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Darlan Bispo ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Barra ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Alemao G. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Chapada
28.1%
Draw
32.7%
União Rondonópolis
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 30.4% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 29.6% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chapada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • União Rondonópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapada than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Chapada - União Rondonópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (3.38)
    2.77
    (3.03)
    2.31
    (2.17)
    10.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Chapada - União Rondonópolis?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Chapada (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapada (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • União Rondonópolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • União Rondonópolis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Chapada
    31.01.2026 Luverdense - Chapada 1:0
    28.01.2026 Nova Mutum - Chapada 3:2
    24.01.2026 Chapada - Cuiabá 2:2
    21.01.2026 Operário Ltda - Chapada 0:2
    17.01.2026 Chapada - Várzea Grande 3:1
    Latest results of União Rondonópolis
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Bye
    2Sport Sinop (4)Cuiaba (5)1 : 0
    3Mixto (2)Bye
    4Operario VG (3)Nova Mutum (6)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Luverdense (1)Sport Sinop (4)2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2Mixto (2)Operario VG (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Luverdense (1)Mixto (2)