Result
2:1
06/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (49/65) | 80% (43/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 49% (18/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (11/54) | 25% (16/65) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 54% (15/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 67% (2/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (62/93) | 67% (61/91) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (30/91) | 33% (31/93) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (92/184) | 50% (92/184) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Adrian Mannarino
44.2% | Arthur Gea
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.27) |
|
1.7 ↑
(1.59) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Gea (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Gea (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 9 - 50%). Gea (votes: 9 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Mannarino is ranked ATP: 70. Gea is ranked ATP: 168.
- Recent performances by Mannarino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gea is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Mannarino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Adrian Mannarino won against Arthur Gea?
Adrian Mannarino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Gea won against Adrian Mannarino?
Arthur Gea has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Gea were as follows:
Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
Latest results of Arthur Gea
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Medjedovic H. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vavassori A. (Q) | Blanchet U. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Royer V. | Fils A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. | Carreno-Busta P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Droguet T. (Q) | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Kouame M. (Q) | Kovacevic A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Martinez P. | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Gea A. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Hurkacz H. (7) | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Basilashvili N. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cobolli F. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Blanchet U. | Fils A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Droguet T. | Kovacevic A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Humbert U. (5) | Mannarino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Gea A. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Damm M. | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Nardi L. | Cobolli F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Fils A. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Griekspoor T. (4) | Droguet T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mannarino A. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Damm M. | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Droguet T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mannarino A. | Damm M. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
