Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 09:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 64% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 66% (38/58) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 44% (14/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 40% (19/48) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 62% (24/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (44/87) | 58% (52/90) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (38/90) | 49% (43/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (82/177) | 54% (95/177) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 57% (16/28) |
Chances of winning
Stefano Travaglia
47.7% | Daniel Merida Aguilar
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Stefano Travaglia - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
|
1.8 ↑
(1.73) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Stefano Travaglia - Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Travaglia: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Sets - Travaglia (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefano Travaglia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Travaglia is ranked ATP: 178. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 183.
- Travaglia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Merida Aguilar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Travaglia won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Stefano Travaglia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Stefano Travaglia?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefano Travaglia - Daniel Merida Aguilar were as follows:
Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Erhard M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. | Shelbayh A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Blanch D. (Q) | Vasami J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Onclin G. | Loffhagen G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Giustino L. (4) | Almazan Valiente I. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Damas M. | Faurel T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Callejon H. S. (WC) | Martin Tiffon P. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Willwerth B. (JR) | Llamas Ruiz P. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mmoh M. (7) | Kukushkin M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Colombo A. (Q) | Barranco Cosano J. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Kachmazov A. (Alt) | Piraino G. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Fomin S. (Alt) | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Vasa I. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Huesler M. | Rincon D. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Sanchez Quilez A. (Q) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Samuel T. | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vasami J. | Loffhagen G. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Giustino L. (4) | Damas M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Martin Tiffon P. | Llamas Ruiz P. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Mmoh M. (RET.) (7) | Barranco Cosano J. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Piraino G. | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Rincon D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Loffhagen G. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Giustino L. (4) | Martin Tiffon P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Barranco Cosano J. | Travaglia S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Moro Canas A. (8) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. (3) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Maestrelli F. (1) | Merida Aguilar D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
