Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.042.05
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
26
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
52
Passes
72% (206/286)87% (513/591)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.042.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.712.55
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
89
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2828
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1015
Passes
72% (206/286)87% (513/591)
Long passes
49% (28/57)55% (38/69)
Passes in final third
64% (65/102)71% (118/166)
Crosses
36% (5/14)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.60
Throw ins
1619
Fouls
1510
Tackles
67% (14/21)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4558
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
1614
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
2.551.71
Goals prevented
-0.45-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Schlotterbeck N. , Svensson D. (A),
  • 45+5', Can E. , Bensebaini R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Kane H. , Gnabry S. (A),
  • 62', Gnabry S. , Musiala J. ,
  • 67', Silva F. , Guirassy S. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. ,
  • 75', Beier M. , Inacio S. ,
  • 75', Nmecha F. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Svensson D. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 87', 2 - 3, Kimmich J. ,
  • 90', Laimer K. , Bischof T. ,
  • 90+2', Olise M. , Kim Min-Jae ,
  • 90+2', Kimmich J. , Goretzka L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
21.9%
Draw
21.4%
Bayern Munich
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.1% 21.3% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 20.3% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.38
    (4.11)
    4.44
    (4.46)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 48 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 17.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 65.7%86.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Bayern (1.24) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +1 - Bayern (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Borussia D (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Bayern (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Bayern (votes: 23 - 85.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1.
    • Borussia D is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bayern is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 26:54. (average 1.3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2
    30.11.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 1:1
    30.03.2024 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 0:2
    04.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich 0:4
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga