Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (28/42) | 65% (46/71) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 63% (19/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/10 | 5/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (25/71) | 33% (14/42) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 51% (21/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/7 | 5/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 42 | 44 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (8/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (48/83) | 65% (66/102) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (36/102) | 42% (35/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (84/185) | 55% (101/185) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 87% (13/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 62% (18/29) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Rincon
45.6% | Toby Samuel
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toby Samuel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Rincon that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Samuel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.42) |
|
1.71 ↑
(1.49) |
7.3%
(8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Samuel will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Rincon is ranked ATP: 299. Samuel is ranked ATP: 172.
- Recent performances by Rincon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Samuel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Samuel might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rincon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Rincon won against Toby Samuel?
Daniel Rincon has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toby Samuel won against Daniel Rincon?
Toby Samuel has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel were as follows:
12.03.2026
Daniel Rincon
-
Toby Samuel
0:2
04.03.2026
Toby Samuel
-
Daniel Rincon
2:0
09.02.2026
Daniel Rincon
-
Toby Samuel
0:2
Latest results of Daniel Rincon
Latest results of Toby Samuel
