Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Nuria Parrizas Diaz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
65%79%
1st serve points won
57% (41/72)74% (62/84)
2nd serve points won
56% (22/39)35% (8/23)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)67% (6/9)
1st return points won
26% (22/84)43% (31/72)
2nd return points won
65% (15/23)44% (17/39)
Break Points Converted
33% (3/9)55% (6/11)
Service Points Won
57% (62/109)65% (69/106)
Return Points Won
35% (37/106)43% (47/109)
Total Points Won
46% (99/215)54% (116/215)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
63% (10/16)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)38% (6/16)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
50.9%
Nuria Parrizas Diaz
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah's form might have worsened.
  • Nuria Parrizas Diaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Parrizas Diaz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Parrizas Diaz than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuria Parrizas Diaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Nuria Parrizas Diaz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.53)

    1.88
    (2.34)
    8.3%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Nuria Parrizas Diaz?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nuria Parrizas Diaz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nuria Parrizas Diaz will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 120. Parrizas Diaz is ranked WTA: 262.
    • Recent form of Rakotomanga Rajaonah has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Parrizas Diaz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rakotomanga Rajaonah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rakotomanga Rajaonah could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Avanesyan E.2 : 1
    2Voloshchuk A. (WC)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    3Jorge M. (WC)Lepchenko V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Tomova V.Quevedo K. (9)0 : 2
    5Jimenez Kasintseva V. (4)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Salkova D.Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Korneeva A. (WC)1 : 2
    8Jakupovic D. (Q)Minnen G. (7)0 : 2
    9Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (5)Parrizas-Diaz N. (Q)1 : 2
    10Chwalinska M.Noha Akugue N. (Q)2 : 1
    11Shymanovich I.Monnet C.2 : 1
    12Bolsova Zadoinov A.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    13Klimovicova L. (8)Jorge F.0 : 2
    14Vidmanova D.Amorim G. (WC)2 : 0
    15Liang E. S. (LL)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    16Crawley F.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Golubic V. (1)Stefanini L.1 : 2
    2Jorge M.Quevedo K. (9)2 : 1
    3Romero Gormaz L.Radivojevic L.2 : 0
    4Korneeva A.Minnen G. (7)2 : 1
    5Parrizas-Diaz N.Chwalinska M.0 : 2
    6Shymanovich I.Lamens S. (3)0 : 2
    7Jorge F.Vidmanova D.1 : 2
    8Kalinina A.Galfi D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Stefanini L.Jorge M.1 : 2
    2Romero Gormaz L.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    3Chwalinska M.Lamens S. (3)2 : 0
    4Vidmanova D.Galfi D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jorge M.Korneeva A.0 : 2
    2Chwalinska M.Vidmanova D.1 : 2

    Final
    1Korneeva A.Vidmanova D.2 : 0