Maks Kasnikowski vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chennai, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
55
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
68%67%
1st serve points won
76% (35/46)72% (31/43)
2nd serve points won
64% (14/22)43% (9/21)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
30% (13/43)24% (11/46)
2nd return points won
57% (12/21)36% (8/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)50% (1/2)
Winners
1128
Unforced errors
1042
Net points won
20% (1/5)85% (11/13)
Service Points Won
73% (48/66)61% (39/64)
Return Points Won
39% (25/64)27% (18/66)
Total Points Won
56% (73/130)44% (57/130)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Maks Kasnikowski
72.8%
Luca Castelnuovo
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maks Kasnikowski's performance.
  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.44)

    3.43
    (2.58)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Castelnuovo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Castelnuovo will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Castelnuovo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 23.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 419. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 438.
    • Recent performances by Kasnikowski have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kasnikowski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Maks Kasnikowski
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Xilas I.0 : 2
    2Vanshelboim E.Vishal Balsekar A. (Q)2 : 0
    3Binda A.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    4Singh K.Ferreira Silva F. (6)0 : 2
    5Simakin I. (4)Dhamne M.2 : 0
    6Gray A.Sekulic P.0 : 2
    7Bar Biryukov P.Eqbal I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Gill F.Nagal S. (8)1 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (5)Rawat S. (WC)1 : 2
    10Lakshmanan A. (Q)Kasnikowski M.0 : 2
    11Leong M. W. K. (Q)Castelnuovo L.0 : 2
    12Singh D. (WC)Crawford O. (3)1 : 2
    13Bax F. (RET.) (7)Yevseyev D.1 : 1
    14Sasikumar M.Sinha N. K. (WC)2 : 0
    15Carboni L.Dev S D P. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    16Sureshkumar M. (WC)Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Xilas I.Vanshelboim E.2 : 0
    2Ajdukovic D.Ferreira Silva F. (6)0 : 2
    3Simakin I. (4)Sekulic P.2 : 1
    4Bar Biryukov P.Nagal S. (8)2 : 1
    5Rawat S.Kasnikowski M.0 : 2
    6Castelnuovo L.Crawford O. (3)2 : 1
    7Yevseyev D.Sasikumar M.2 : 1
    8Carboni L.Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Xilas I.Ferreira Silva F. (6)0 : 2
    2Simakin I. (4)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 1
    3Kasnikowski M.Castelnuovo L.2 : 0
    4Yevseyev D.Gomez F. A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ferreira Silva F. (6)Simakin I. (4)2 : 0
    2Kasnikowski M.Gomez F. A. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ferreira Silva F. (6)Gomez F. A. (2)2 : 1