Marvin Moeller vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Moeller M. walkover
14/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oberhaching, hard - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Marvin Moeller
47.2%
Stefano Napolitano
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marvin Moeller's performance.
  • Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marvin Moeller that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Napolitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marvin Moeller - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.33)

    1.76
    (1.5)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moeller is ranked ATP: 446. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 436.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Napolitano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Marvin Moeller
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Zick S.2 : 0
    2Gruenig G.Lorusso L.1 : 2
    3Krutykh O.Filar K.1 : 2
    4McDonald N.Story J. (5)2 : 1
    5Brunold M. (4)Hausberger G.2 : 0
    6Oradini G.Donald M.2 : 1
    7Reisach V.Agwi M.2 : 0
    8Thomas F.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    9Masur D. (7)Hurrion M.2 : 0
    10Planinsek F. J.Majdandzic M.0 : 2
    11Naw H.Filip J.2 : 0
    12Dullinger V.Moeller M. (3)1 : 2
    13Rehberg M. H. (8)Schoenhaus M.2 : 0
    14Kelm Y.Demin Y.1 : 2
    15Barsukov N.Romano F.0 : 2
    16Bastiaansen P.Napolitano S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Lorusso L.2 : 0
    2Filar K.McDonald N.1 : 2
    3Brunold M. (4)Oradini G.2 : 0
    4Reisach V.Malige M. (6)0 : 2
    5Masur D. (7)Majdandzic M.2 : 1
    6Naw H.Moeller M. (3)0 : 2
    7Rehberg M. H. (8)Demin Y.1 : 2
    8Romano F.Napolitano S. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)McDonald N.2 : 1
    2Brunold M. (4)Malige M. (6)2 : 1
    3Masur D. (7)Moeller M. (3)0 : 2
    4Demin Y.Napolitano S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jubb P. (1)Brunold M. (4)2 : 0
    2Moeller M. (WO.) (3)Napolitano S. (2)

    Final
    1Jubb P. (1)Moeller M. (3)2 : 0