Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (31/41) | 52% (23/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 37% (7/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 37% (15/41) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 48% (30/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 36% (22/61) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (71/123) | 42% (52/123) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Alexis Galarneau 69.1% | Andre Ilagan 30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andre Ilagan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.52) |
|
3.18 ↑ (2.36) |
4.2% (8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -3.5 Games - Ilagan (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%). Ilagan (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Galarneau is ranked ATP: 236. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 361.
- Galarneau is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ilagan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Galarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Andre Ilagan?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andre Ilagan won against Alexis Galarneau?
Andre Ilagan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan were as follows:
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Latest results of Andre Ilagan
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Ozolins K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ghibaudo A. | Kennedy J. (JR) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Perot R. | Corwin F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Milavsky D. | Smith K. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martin A. (3) | Kingsley C. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Arutiunian E. | Jones B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ilagan A. | Gima S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Langmo C. | Johns G. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Schachter N. (Q) | Pieczkowski O. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Vandecasteele Q. (WC) | Forbes M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | McCormick T. | Strombachs R. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Dostanic S. (Q) | George B. T. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Zink T. (7) | Azkara A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fishback R. (Q) | Shick B. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Boulais J. (Alt) | Bicknell B. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Loncarevic A. (Q) | Andrade A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Kennedy J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Perot R. | Milavsky D. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kingsley C. | Arutiunian E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ilagan A. | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Pieczkowski O. | Vandecasteele Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Strombachs R. | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zink T. (7) | Shick B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bicknell B. | Andrade A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Milavsky D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kingsley C. | Ilagan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pieczkowski O. | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shick B. | Andrade A. (WO.) (2) | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dostanic S. | Andrade A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |