Alexis Galarneau vs Andre Ilagan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
66%70%
1st serve points won
76% (31/41)52% (23/44)
2nd serve points won
43% (9/21)37% (7/19)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
48% (21/44)37% (15/41)
2nd return points won
63% (12/19)57% (12/21)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)50% (1/2)
Winners
1920
Unforced errors
1827
Net points won
69% (9/13)62% (8/13)
Service Points Won
64% (39/61)48% (30/62)
Return Points Won
52% (32/62)36% (22/61)
Total Points Won
58% (71/123)42% (52/123)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Alexis Galarneau
69.1%
Andre Ilagan
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.
  • Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andre Ilagan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.52)

    3.18
    (2.36)
    4.2%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Andre Ilagan?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ilagan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Ilagan (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 50%). Ilagan (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Galarneau is ranked ATP: 236. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 361.
    • Galarneau is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ilagan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Galarneau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
    Latest results of Andre Ilagan
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ozolins K. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ghibaudo A.Kennedy J. (JR)0 : 2
    3Perot R.Corwin F. (Q)2 : 1
    4Milavsky D.Smith K. (8)2 : 0
    5Martin A. (3)Kingsley C.0 : 2
    6Arutiunian E.Jones B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Ilagan A.Gima S.2 : 0
    8Langmo C.Johns G. (5)2 : 0
    9Schachter N. (Q)Pieczkowski O.0 : 2
    10Vandecasteele Q. (WC)Forbes M. (WC)2 : 0
    11McCormick T.Strombachs R.0 : 2
    12Dostanic S. (Q)George B. T. (LL)2 : 0
    13Zink T. (7)Azkara A. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Fishback R. (Q)Shick B. (WC)1 : 2
    15Boulais J. (Alt)Bicknell B.1 : 2
    16Loncarevic A. (Q)Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Kennedy J.2 : 0
    2Perot R.Milavsky D.1 : 2
    3Kingsley C.Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    4Ilagan A.Langmo C.2 : 0
    5Pieczkowski O.Vandecasteele Q.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    7Zink T. (7)Shick B.0 : 2
    8Bicknell B.Andrade A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Milavsky D.2 : 0
    2Kingsley C.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Pieczkowski O.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    4Shick B.Andrade A. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Galarneau A. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    2Dostanic S.Andrade A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (1)Dostanic S.0 : 2