Falcon vs Desportiva Aracaju – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Falcon
65.1%
Draw
22.7%
Desportiva Aracaju
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 28.3% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falcon's performance.
  • Desportiva Aracaju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desportiva Aracaju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-20.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falcon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Aracaju than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desportiva Aracaju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Falcon - Desportiva Aracaju Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.83)
    4.04
    (3.24)
    7.47
    (4.26)
    9.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Falcon - Desportiva Aracaju?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Falcon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Desportiva Aracaju is Relegated to
    • Recent performances by Falcon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Desportiva Aracaju has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Falcon is the undeniable favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Falcon
    31.01.2026 Dorense - Falcon 1:0
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    Latest results of Desportiva Aracaju
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)