Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Baton Rouge, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 46% | 62% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 76% (22/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 67% (12/18) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 53% (10/19) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 64% (14/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (4/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 57% (4/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 72% (34/47) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (13/47) | 59% (24/41) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (30/88) | 66% (58/88) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Alexis Galarneau
56.4% | Stefan Dostanic
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Stefan Dostanic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Dostanic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.77) |
|
2.15 ↑
(1.97) |
6.8%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alexis Galarneau will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Galarneau is ranked ATP: 236. Dostanic is ranked ATP: 505.
- Galarneau is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dostanic is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Galarneau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexis Galarneau won against Stefan Dostanic?
Alexis Galarneau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefan Dostanic won against Alexis Galarneau?
Stefan Dostanic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic were as follows:
Latest results of Alexis Galarneau
Latest results of Stefan Dostanic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Ozolins K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ghibaudo A. | Kennedy J. (JR) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Perot R. | Corwin F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Milavsky D. | Smith K. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martin A. (3) | Kingsley C. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Arutiunian E. | Jones B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Ilagan A. | Gima S. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Langmo C. | Johns G. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Schachter N. (Q) | Pieczkowski O. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Vandecasteele Q. (WC) | Forbes M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | McCormick T. | Strombachs R. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Dostanic S. (Q) | George B. T. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Zink T. (7) | Azkara A. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fishback R. (Q) | Shick B. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Boulais J. (Alt) | Bicknell B. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Loncarevic A. (Q) | Andrade A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Kennedy J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Perot R. | Milavsky D. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kingsley C. | Arutiunian E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ilagan A. | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Pieczkowski O. | Vandecasteele Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Strombachs R. | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Zink T. (7) | Shick B. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bicknell B. | Andrade A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Milavsky D. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kingsley C. | Ilagan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pieczkowski O. | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Shick B. | Andrade A. (WO.) (2) | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dostanic S. | Andrade A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Galarneau A. (1) | Dostanic S. | 0 : 2 |
