Result
0:2
15/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (30/46) | 78% (32/41) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 60% (12/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 75% (3/4) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 22% (9/41) | 35% (16/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 50% (11/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 75% (3/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 33 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (41/68) | 72% (44/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (17/61) | 40% (27/68) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (58/129) | 55% (71/129) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Matteo Covato
27.8% | Natan Rodrigues
72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.Natan Rodrigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Natan Rodrigues's recent form is better than expected.
Matteo Covato - Natan Rodrigues Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.05) |
|
1.29 ↓
(1.63) |
7.4%
(10.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Matteo Covato - Natan Rodrigues?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 1st Set - Rodrigues (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rodrigues (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Covato is ranked ATP: 736. Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 1018.
- Rodrigues has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Matteo Covato won against Natan Rodrigues?
Matteo Covato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Natan Rodrigues won against Matteo Covato?
Natan Rodrigues has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Covato - Natan Rodrigues were as follows:
Latest results of Matteo Covato
Latest results of Natan Rodrigues
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Fishback R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nefve A. (Q) | Sau Franco A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rodrigues N. (Q) | Tobon M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Gomez J. S. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Galarneau A. (4) | Hardt N. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Baadi T. | Kingsley C. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Winter E. | Dickerson R. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Aguilar J. C. M. | Martin A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (8) | McCormick T. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bicknell B. | Poling K. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Martin D. (RET.) | Ayeni A. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Dalmasso G. (Q) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Gojo B. (5) | Mena F. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Jones B. (Q) | De Alba R. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Brouwer G. (PR) | Gima S. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC) | Tomic B. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Nefve A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rodrigues N. | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. (4) | Kingsley C. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Winter E. | Martin A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kozlov S. (8) | Poling K. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayeni A. | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Gojo B. (5) | Jones B. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Brouwer G. | Tomic B. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ficovich J. P. (1) | Andrade A. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Galarneau A. (4) | Winter E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Kozlov S. (8) | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Gojo B. (5) | Tomic B. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Andrade A. (6) | Galarneau A. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pacheco Mendez R. (3) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Galarneau A. (4) | Gojo B. (5) | 0 : 2 |
