Stefan Kozlov vs Tristan McCormick – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
66
Double Faults
76
1st serve percentage
58%64%
1st serve points won
73% (44/60)72% (47/65)
2nd serve points won
53% (23/43)38% (14/37)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)56% (5/9)
1st return points won
28% (18/65)28% (17/60)
2nd return points won
62% (23/37)47% (20/43)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)33% (2/6)
Winners
3831
Unforced errors
3550
Net points won
72% (13/18)67% (12/18)
Service Points Won
65% (67/103)61% (61/100)
Return Points Won
39% (39/100)35% (36/103)
Total Points Won
52% (106/203)48% (97/203)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
88% (14/16)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)13% (2/16)
Total games won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Stefan Kozlov
82.4%
Tristan McCormick
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.7% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Stefan Kozlov - Tristan McCormick Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.13
    (1.16)

    5.36
    (4.85)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Stefan Kozlov - Tristan McCormick?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - McCormick (8.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Set - McCormick (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Set - McCormick (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tristan McCormick will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tristan McCormick will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. McCormick (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kozlov is ranked ATP: 273. McCormick is ranked ATP: 504.
    • Kozlov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • McCormick has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • McCormick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Kozlov is the undisputed favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stefan Kozlov
    Latest results of Tristan McCormick
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2