Sho Shimabukuro vs Marcos Giron – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
102
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
66%53%
1st serve points won
79% (31/39)70% (28/40)
2nd serve points won
35% (7/20)71% (25/35)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)100% (9/9)
1st return points won
33% (13/40)23% (9/39)
2nd return points won
29% (10/35)65% (13/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
2719
Unforced errors
3720
Net points won
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
63% (37/59)71% (53/75)
Return Points Won
29% (22/75)37% (22/59)
Total Points Won
44% (59/134)56% (75/134)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)20% (2/10)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Sho Shimabukuro
32.1%
Marcos Giron
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 75.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcos Giron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (3.28)

    1.4
    (1.33)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Sho Shimabukuro - Marcos Giron?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimabukuro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Giron will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Giron: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marcos Giron will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 144. Giron is ranked ATP: 59.
    • Shimabukuro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Giron has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Giron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Giron is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
    Latest results of Marcos Giron
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)Bye
    2Quinn E.Jodar R. (NG)
    3Walton A. (LL)Diallo G.
    4Moutet C.Paul T. (5)
    5Tien L. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Bellucci M.
    7Kovacevic A.Svajda Z. (Q)
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)
    9Nakashima B. (7)Cilic M.
    10Borges N.Wong C. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kypson P. (WC)Atmane T.1 : 2
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Vacherot V. (6)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    14Korda S.McDonald M. (WC)
    15Shimabukuro S. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Fritz T. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Tien L. (4)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Wong C.
    6Atmane T.Cobolli F. (3)
    7Michelsen A.TBD #14
    8Giron M.Ruud C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2